SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Borussia Dortmund | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| 6 | Mainz 05 | 6 | -3 | 10 |
| 7 | FC Koln | 6 | 3 | 9 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Stuttgart | 6 | -1 | 5 |
| 15 | Hertha Berlin | 6 | -2 | 5 |
| 16 | Wolfsburg | 6 | -5 | 5 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 26.86% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.22%) and 2-0 (8.66%). The likeliest Hertha Berlin win was 0-1 (8.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Mainz 05 | Draw | Hertha Berlin |
47.31% ( -0.07) | 25.83% ( 0.02) | 26.86% ( 0.05) |
| Both teams to score 50.92% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.31% ( -0.07) | 52.68% ( 0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.67% ( -0.06) | 74.32% ( 0.06) |
| Mainz 05 Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.73% ( -0.07) | 22.26% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.29% ( -0.09) | 55.71% ( 0.09) |
| Hertha Berlin Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.51% | 34.49% ( -0) |
