With very little between these two sides in the build up to their meeting on Sunday, it is difficult to see either coming away with all three points.
Koln could well nick a narrow victory thanks to their impressive form at the RheinEnergieStadion, as well as the number of injuries hampering the visitors, but we are going for a tight encounter to finish level.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Koln win with a probability of 43.33%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a FC Koln win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.15%) and 2-0 (6.09%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.
