We said: Borussia Monchengladbach 2-1 Hoffenheim
There has been little to separate these two sides in recent years as five of their last eight Bundesliga encounters have ended as a draw.
Considering the form of both teams heading into Saturday's game, we can see the hosts edging a closely-fought contest.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Monchengladbach win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 31.2% and a draw had a probability of 22.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Monchengladbach win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.97%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.25%) and 2-0 (5.91%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.49%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Monchengladbach would win this match.
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