Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 29.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.89%) and 2-0 (7.32%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 1-2 (7.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Mainz 05 would win this match.
