SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 60.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 19.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.18%) and 1-0 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.55%), while for a Wolfsburg win it was 1-2 (5.16%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Borussia Dortmund | Draw | Wolfsburg |
60.28% ( 0.02) | 20.7% ( -0.02) | 19.01% |
| Both teams to score 57.74% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 61.07% ( 0.11) | 38.93% ( -0.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 38.75% ( 0.11) | 61.25% ( -0.12) |
| Borussia Dortmund Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.45% ( 0.04) | 12.54% ( -0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 61.41% ( 0.08) | 38.58% ( -0.09) |
| Wolfsburg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.02% ( 0.06) | 33.97% ( -0.07) |
