MX23RW : Sunday, May 7 19:47:17
SM
Sunday, May 7
W
Bundesliga | Gameweek 13
Nov 27, 2021 at 2.30pm UK
 
DL
Wolfsburg
1 - 3
Dortmund
Weghorst (2')
Lukebakio (25'), Lacroix (32'), Nmecha (37'), Arnold (42')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Can (35' pen.), Malen (55'), Braut Haaland (81')
Wolf (60')

We said: Wolfsburg 1-1 Borussia Dortmund

We are predicting these sides to cancel each other out in this one on Saturday, due to the similar situations they find themselves in in the build-up. Neither are firing on all cylinders in front of goal in recent weeks, so although goals are usually expected in Dortmund's fixtures in particular, we can see this being a low-scoring affair at the Volkswagen Arena. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 50.03%. A win for Wolfsburg had a probability of 26.07% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.6%) and 0-2 (8.23%). The likeliest Wolfsburg win was 1-0 (6.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Borussia Dortmund would win this match.

Result
WolfsburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
26.07%23.9%50.03%
Both teams to score 56.38%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.81%45.19%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.47%67.54%
Wolfsburg Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.87%31.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.54%67.46%
Borussia Dortmund Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.87%18.13%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.91%49.09%
Score Analysis
    Wolfsburg 26.07%
    Borussia Dortmund 50.03%
    Draw 23.9%
WolfsburgDrawBorussia Dortmund
1-0 @ 6.59%
2-1 @ 6.56%
2-0 @ 3.84%
3-1 @ 2.55%
3-2 @ 2.18%
3-0 @ 1.5%
Other @ 2.85%
Total : 26.07%
1-1 @ 11.24%
0-0 @ 5.65%
2-2 @ 5.6%
3-3 @ 1.24%
Other @ 0.17%
Total : 23.9%
0-1 @ 9.64%
1-2 @ 9.6%
0-2 @ 8.23%
1-3 @ 5.47%
0-3 @ 4.68%
2-3 @ 3.19%
1-4 @ 2.33%
0-4 @ 2%
2-4 @ 1.36%
Other @ 3.52%
Total : 50.03%

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Bundesliga Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern31198483344965
2Borussia DortmundDortmund31204773403364
3RB Leipzig31176855371857
4Union BerlinUnion Berlin31168744321256
5Freiburg3116874638856
6Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen311461154431148
7Wolfsburg311210954431146
8Mainz 05Mainz31129105146545
9Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt311110105149243
10Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach31109124648-239
11FC Koln31911114249-738
12Werder Bremen31105164960-1135
13Augsburg3197154055-1534
14Hoffenheim3195174252-1032
15Schalke 04Schalke3179153159-2830
16Stuttgart31610153954-1528
17VfL BochumVfL Bochum3184193369-3628
18Hertha Berlin3167183762-2525
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