SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Flamengo | 25 | 19 | 44 |
| 3 | Internacional | 25 | 15 | 43 |
| 4 | Corinthians | 25 | 5 | 43 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 15 | Ceara | 25 | -1 | 28 |
| 16 | Cuiaba | 25 | -7 | 26 |
| 17 | Coritiba | 25 | -15 | 25 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 65.44%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Cuiaba had a probability of 13.56%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.9%) and 2-1 (9.54%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.91%), while for a Cuiaba win it was 0-1 (5.14%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Internacional in this match.
| Result | ||
| Internacional | Draw | Cuiaba |
65.44% ( 0.02) | 21% ( -0.01) | 13.56% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 44.65% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.8% ( 0.01) | 50.2% ( -0.01) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.84% ( 0) | 72.16% ( -0) |
| Internacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.43% ( 0.01) | 14.57% ( -0.01) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 57.37% ( 0.02) | 42.63% ( -0.02) |
| Cuiaba Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 52.26% ( -0.02) | 47.73% ( 0.02) |
