SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Flamengo | 21 | 13 | 36 |
| 6 | Internacional | 21 | 7 | 33 |
| 7 | Atletico Mineiro | 21 | 3 | 32 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 2 | Corinthians | 22 | 5 | 39 |
| 3 | Fluminense | 21 | 10 | 38 |
| 4 | Athletico Paranaense | 21 | 6 | 37 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 40.39%. A win for Fluminense had a probability of 32.29% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.41%) and 2-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Fluminense win was 0-1 (9.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Internacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Internacional | Draw | Fluminense |
40.39% ( 0.26) | 27.32% ( -0.06) | 32.29% ( -0.2) |
| Both teams to score 49.31% ( 0.13) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 43.89% ( 0.19) | 56.11% ( -0.19) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 22.82% ( 0.15) | 77.18% ( -0.16) |
| Internacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.76% ( 0.23) | 27.23% ( -0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 37.34% ( 0.3) | 62.66% ( -0.3) |
| Fluminense Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.77% ( -0.04) | 32.23% ( 0.04) |
