Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cuiaba win with a probability of 38.81%. A win for Internacional had a probability of 30.97% and a draw had a probability of 30.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cuiaba win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.8%) and 2-1 (7.43%). The likeliest Internacional win was 0-1 (12.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Cuiaba in this match.
