Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Internacional win with a probability of 50.89%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Gremio had a probability of 23.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Internacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.04%) and 2-1 (9.2%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.26%), while for a Gremio win it was 0-1 (8.17%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Internacional in this match.
