Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 66.13%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 14.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.89%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.33%), while for a Vasco da Gama win it was 0-1 (4.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood.
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