Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Vasco da Gama and Goias.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Vasco da Gama win with a probability of 39.5%. A win for Goias had a probability of 33.76% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Vasco da Gama win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (6.99%). The likeliest Goias win was 0-1 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Vasco da Gama would win this match.
