Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 41.27%. A win for Atletico Mineiro had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.62%). The likeliest Atletico Mineiro win was 0-1 (9.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Fluminense | Draw | Atletico Mineiro |
41.27% ( 0.66) | 27.24% ( -0.51) | 31.49% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 49.3% ( 1.44) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.98% ( 1.85) | 56.01% ( -1.85) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.9% ( 1.49) | 77.1% ( -1.48) |
Fluminense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.28% ( 1.23) | 26.72% ( -1.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
38.02% ( 1.6) | 61.98% ( -1.6) |
Atletico Mineiro Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.27% ( 0.85) | 32.73% ( -0.85) |