Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
8 | Coritiba | 11 | 0 | 15 |
9 | Bragantino | 11 | 1 | 14 |
10 | Ceara | 11 | 0 | 14 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
7 | Athletico Paranaense | 11 | -1 | 17 |
8 | Coritiba | 11 | 0 | 15 |
9 | Bragantino | 11 | 1 | 14 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 50.49%. A draw had a probability of 26.8% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 22.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.29%) and 2-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Coritiba win it was 0-1 (8.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bragantino would win this match.
Result | ||
Bragantino | Draw | Coritiba |
50.49% ( -0.06) | 26.8% ( 0.09) | 22.72% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 44.44% ( -0.26) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.8% ( -0.32) | 59.2% ( 0.33) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.38% ( -0.25) | 79.63% ( 0.25) |
Bragantino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.39% ( -0.17) | 23.61% ( 0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
42.31% ( -0.24) | 57.69% ( 0.24) |
Coritiba Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.17% ( -0.22) | 41.83% ( 0.22) |