MX23RW : Thursday, October 6 07:49:20
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Thursday, October 6
Jun 12, 2022 at 10pm UK at Estádio Couto Pereira
Coritiba
0 - 2
Palmeiras

Biro (36')
Anderson (72')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Dudu (23'), Rony (63')
Dudu (34'), Silva de Freitas (84')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Coritiba 1-1 Sao Paulo
Friday, June 10 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 4-0 Botafogo
Thursday, June 9 at 11pm in Brasileiro

We said: Coritiba 1-2 Palmeiras

Coritiba have certainly impressed since their promotion and shown themselves to be a competitive outfit, but we see them falling just short against a strong Palmeiras side who look to have hit their stride. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 52.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Coritiba had a probability of 22.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.04%) and 1-2 (9.41%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.99%), while for a Coritiba win it was 1-0 (7.65%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.

Result
CoritibaDrawPalmeiras
22.54% (0.166 0.17) 25.36% (0.063000000000002 0.06) 52.1% (-0.23 -0.23)
Both teams to score 48.14% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.75% (-0.085000000000001 -0.09)54.25% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.35% (-0.071000000000002 -0.07)75.65% (0.067999999999998 0.07)
Coritiba Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.81% (0.11499999999999 0.11)39.19% (-0.11799999999999 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.1% (0.108 0.11)75.9% (-0.11 -0.11)
Palmeiras Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.16% (-0.13200000000001 -0.13)20.84% (0.13 0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.48% (-0.204 -0.2)53.52% (0.202 0.2)
Score Analysis
    Coritiba 22.54%
    Palmeiras 52.09%
    Draw 25.35%
CoritibaDrawPalmeiras
1-0 @ 7.65% (0.049 0.05)
2-1 @ 5.62% (0.031 0.03)
2-0 @ 3.58% (0.035 0.04)
3-1 @ 1.76% (0.015 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.38% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.12% (0.014 0.01)
Other @ 1.44%
Total : 22.54%
1-1 @ 11.99% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
0-0 @ 8.17% (0.026 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.41% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 25.35%
0-1 @ 12.8% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-2 @ 10.04% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.41% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
0-3 @ 5.25% (-0.046 -0.05)
1-3 @ 4.92% (-0.027 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.3% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.06% (-0.026 -0.03)
1-4 @ 1.93% (-0.018 -0.02)
2-4 @ 0.9% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 52.09%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Coritiba 1-1 Sao Paulo
Friday, June 10 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Ceara 1-1 Coritiba
Saturday, June 4 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Coritiba 1-0 Botafogo
Sunday, May 29 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico GO 2-0 Coritiba
Saturday, May 21 at 8.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Coritiba 1-0 America Mineiro
Sunday, May 15 at 9.30pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Avai 2-1 Coritiba
Tuesday, May 10 at 12am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 4-0 Botafogo
Thursday, June 9 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 0-0 Atletico Mineiro
Sunday, June 5 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Santos 0-1 Palmeiras
Sunday, May 29 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 4-1 Tachira
Wednesday, May 25 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Juventude 0-3 Palmeiras
Saturday, May 21 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 1-0 Emelec
Wednesday, May 18 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
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Brasileiro Table
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PalmeirasPalmeiras29189248202863
2InternacionalInternacional301412444261854
3Fluminense30156948361251
4Corinthians3014973629751
5FlamengoFlamengo30147948282049
6Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR3013983634248
7Atletico Mineiro30121083832646
8America MineiroAmerica Mineiro29126112628-242
9FortalezaFortaleza30108123032-238
10BragantinoBragantino30911104039138
11GoiasGoias30911103136-538
12Botafogo29107122933-437
13SantosSantos30910113228437
14Sao Paulo2881373931837
15CearaCeara30614102832-432
16Coritiba2894152943-1431
17Cuiaba3079142232-1030
18Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3077163047-1728
19Avai2977152745-1828
20JuventudeJuventude30311162353-3020
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