Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 60.32%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Bragantino had a probability of 16.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.75%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.8%), while for a Bragantino win it was 0-1 (6.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Palmeiras would win this match.
