Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 54.54%. A draw had a probability of 24.2% and a win for Athletico Paranaense had a probability of 21.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.1%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.16%) and 2-1 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.5%), while for an Athletico Paranaense win it was 0-1 (6.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
