Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Bahia and Vasco da Gama.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bahia win with a probability of 44.87%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 27.58% and a draw had a probability of 27.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bahia win was 1-0 with a probability of 13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.75%) and 2-1 (8.67%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 0-1 (9.58%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.88%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bahia would win this match.
