Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 61.83%. A draw had a probability of 21.7% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 16.47%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.36%) and 2-1 (9.84%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.32%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 0-1 (5.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Velez Sarsfield would win this match.
