Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Velez Sarsfield win with a probability of 69.3%. A draw had a probability of 19.5% and a win for Patronato had a probability of 11.16%.
The most likely scoreline for a Velez Sarsfield win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (13.78%) and 3-0 (9.39%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.15%), while for a Patronato win it was 0-1 (4.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.
