Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Boca Juniors win with a probability of 45.78%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Aldosivi had a probability of 26.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Boca Juniors win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.9%) and 1-2 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for an Aldosivi win it was 1-0 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 4.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Boca Juniors would win this match.
