SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 11 | Banfield | 13 | 3 | 18 |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 1 | 18 |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 12 | Huracan | 13 | 1 | 18 |
| 13 | Sarmiento | 12 | -7 | 18 |
| 14 | Union | 13 | -1 | 17 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Huracan win with a probability of 57.64%. A draw had a probability of 25.6% and a win for Sarmiento had a probability of 16.72%.
The most likely scoreline for a Huracan win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.71%) and 2-1 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.44%), while for a Sarmiento win it was 0-1 (7.45%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 1.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Huracan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Huracan | Draw | Sarmiento |
57.64% ( 0.01) | 25.64% ( 0.01) | 16.72% ( -0.02) |
| Both teams to score 39.21% ( -0.05) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.51% ( -0.04) | 61.48% ( 0.05) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.64% ( -0.03) | 81.35% ( 0.03) |
| Huracan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.5% ( -0.01) | 21.5% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 45.45% ( -0.02) | 54.54% ( 0.02) |
| Sarmiento Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 49.95% ( -0.05) | 50.05% ( 0.05) |
