SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Nigeria | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Egypt | 3 | 1 | 6 |
| 3 | Sudan | 3 | -3 | 1 |
| 4 | Guinea-Bissau | 3 | -3 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gabon win with a probability of 49.38%. A draw had a probability of 27.6% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 22.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.29%) and 1-2 (8.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.6%), while for a Sudan win it was 1-0 (9.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Sudan | Draw | Gabon |
22.98% ( 0.14) | 27.64% ( 0.13) | 49.38% ( -0.27) |
| Both teams to score 42.58% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 38.25% ( -0.31) | 61.74% ( 0.31) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 18.45% ( -0.23) | 81.54% ( 0.23) |
| Sudan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 56.96% ( -0.04) | 43.03% ( 0.04) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 20.68% ( -0.03) | 79.32% ( 0.03) |
| Gabon Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.75% ( -0.27) | 25.24% ( 0.27) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 40% ( -0.37) | 59.99% ( 0.36) |
| Score Analysis |
| Sudan | Draw | Gabon |
| 1-0 @ 9.16% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 3.86% ( 0.04)3-1 @ 1.49% ( 0)3-0 @ 1.09% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 1.03% ( -0.01)Other @ 1.04% Total : 22.98% | 1-1 @ 12.6% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 10.86% ( 0.12)2-2 @ 3.66% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.51% Total : 27.63% | 0-1 @ 14.95% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 10.29% ( -0.04)1-2 @ 8.68% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 4.72% ( -0.05)1-3 @ 3.98% ( -0.05)2-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.02)0-4 @ 1.63% ( -0.03)1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.03)Other @ 2.07% Total : 49.37% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Bournemouth | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Arsenal | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 3 | Aston Villa | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 4 | Brentford | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 5 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Burnley | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 7 | Chelsea | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 8 | Crystal Palace | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 9 | Everton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Fulham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 | Liverpool | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 | Luton TownLuton | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 | Manchester CityMan City | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 17 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 18 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
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