MX23RW : Sunday, June 18 16:15:07
SM
Nations League final: 2 hrs 29 mins
BF
Africa Cup of Nations | Round of 16
Jan 23, 2022 at 4pm UK
 
GN
Burkina Faso
1 - 1
Gabon
Burkina Faso win 7-6 on penalties
Traore (28')
Guira (9'), Toure (22'), Kabore (70'), Simpore (88'), Konate (90'), Tapsoba (102')
FT
(aet)
Guira (90+1' og.)
Allevinah (7'), Obissa (16'), Boupendza (18'), Poko (58'), Ecuele Manga (67'), Bouanga (68'), Mfa Mezui (103')
Obissa (67')

We say: Burkina Faso 2-1 Gabon

We anticipate a very open contest with the result tipping either way as both sides, who are evenly matched on paper, head into the game in similar form. However, we predict Burkina Faso will nick the win as they boast the experienced players needed at this stage of the tournament. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 43.66%. A draw had a probability of 28.6% and a win for Gabon had a probability of 27.69%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.95%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.79%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.12%), while for a Gabon win it was 0-1 (10.42%).

Result
Burkina FasoDrawGabon
43.66%28.65%27.69%
Both teams to score 43.65%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.72%62.28%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.06%81.94%
Burkina Faso Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.61%28.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.87%64.13%
Gabon Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.95%39.04%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.23%75.76%
Score Analysis
    Burkina Faso 43.66%
    Gabon 27.68%
    Draw 28.64%
Burkina FasoDrawGabon
1-0 @ 13.95%
2-0 @ 8.79%
2-1 @ 8.27%
3-0 @ 3.69%
3-1 @ 3.47%
3-2 @ 1.63%
4-0 @ 1.16%
4-1 @ 1.09%
Other @ 1.61%
Total : 43.66%
1-1 @ 13.12%
0-0 @ 11.08%
2-2 @ 3.89%
Other @ 0.55%
Total : 28.64%
0-1 @ 10.42%
1-2 @ 6.17%
0-2 @ 4.9%
1-3 @ 1.94%
0-3 @ 1.54%
2-3 @ 1.22%
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 27.68%

Read more!

Prediction and betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.

Read more!
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