Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gabon win with a probability of 52.41%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Sudan had a probability of 19.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Gabon win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.86%) and 2-1 (8.06%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.39%), while for a Sudan win it was 0-1 (9.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 17.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Gabon in this match.
0.08) 
-0.11) 
