Both teams have struggled defensively of late, but Ethiopia's better offensive form makes them favourites for this one. We are tipping the hosts to get the job done at the sound of the final whistle.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Ethiopia win with a probability of 46.24%. A draw has a probability of 30.8% and a win for Malawi has a probability of 22.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ethiopia win is 1-0 with a probability of 17.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (10.23%) and 2-1 (7.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 0-0 (15.03%), while for a Malawi win it is 0-1 (10.94%).
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