Both sides head into the game in contrasting form, with Cape Verde winning each of their most event three games on the trot. While Burkina Faso are the superior side on paper and will be looking to arrest their slump in form, we are backing the visitors to hold out for a share of the spoils.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burkina Faso win with a probability of 40.25%. A win for Cape Verde had a probability of 31.97% and a draw had a probability of 27.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Burkina Faso win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.28%) and 2-0 (7.55%). The likeliest Cape Verde win was 0-1 (10.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burkina Faso would win this match.
0.03) 
-0.02) 
