Ethiopia 0-1 Cape Verde - Africa Cup of Nations Group Stage - Football

Jan 9, 2022 at 7pm UK

Ethiopia

0 - 1

Cape Verde

Tamene (39')
Baye (12')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Tavares (45+1')
Rodrigues (25')

The Match

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Africa Cup of Nations clash between Ethiopia and Cape Verde, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cape Verde win with a probability of 38.49%. A win for Ethiopia had a probability of 33.82% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cape Verde win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.12%) and 0-2 (7.08%). The likeliest Ethiopia win was 1-0 (10.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Cape Verde in this match.

Result
Ethiopia	Draw	Cape Verde
33.82%	27.69%	38.49%

Both teams to score 48.56%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.77%

57.23%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.92%

78.08%

Ethiopia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.24%

31.76%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

31.81%

68.19%

Cape Verde Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.15%

28.85%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.29%

64.71%

Score Analysis

Ethiopia 33.81%

Cape Verde 38.48%

Draw 27.69%

Ethiopia	Draw	Cape Verde
1-0 @ 10.5% 2-1 @ 7.49% 2-0 @ 6.03% 3-1 @ 2.86% 3-0 @ 2.3% 3-2 @ 1.78% Other @ 2.85% Total : 33.81%	1-1 @ 13.06% 0-0 @ 9.16% 2-2 @ 4.66% Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.69%	0-1 @ 11.38% 1-2 @ 8.12% 0-2 @ 7.08% 1-3 @ 3.37% 0-3 @ 2.93% 2-3 @ 1.93% 1-4 @ 1.05% 0-4 @ 0.91% Other @ 1.72% Total : 38.48%

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Premier League Table

	Team	P	W	D	L	F	A	GD	PTS
C	Manchester City Man City	38	29	6	3	99	26	73	93
2	Liverpool	38	28	8	2	94	26	68	92
3	Chelsea	38	21	11	6	76	33	43	74
4	Tottenham Hotspur Spurs	38	22	5	11	69	40	29	71
5	Arsenal	38	22	3	13	61	48	13	69
6	Manchester United Man Utd	38	16	10	12	57	57	0	58
7	West Ham United West Ham	38	16	8	14	60	51	9	56
8	Leicester City Leicester	38	14	10	14	62	59	3	52
9	Brighton & Hove Albion Brighton	38	12	15	11	42	44	-2	51
10	Wolverhampton Wanderers Wolves	38	15	6	17	38	43	-5	51
11	Newcastle United Newcastle	38	13	10	15	44	62	-18	49
12	Crystal Palace	38	11	15	12	50	46	4	48
13	Brentford	38	13	7	18	48	56	-8	46
14	Aston Villa	38	13	6	19	52	54	-2	45
15	Southampton	38	9	13	16	43	67	-24	40
16	Everton	38	11	6	21	43	66	-23	39
17	Leeds United Leeds	38	9	11	18	42	79	-37	38
R	Burnley	38	7	14	17	34	53	-19	35
R	Watford	38	6	5	27	34	77	-43	23
R	Norwich City Norwich	38	5	7	26	23	84	-61	22