SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Ain win with a probability of 44.1%. A win for Pakhtakor Tashkent had a probability of 28.03% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Ain win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.65%) and 1-2 (8.54%). The likeliest Pakhtakor Tashkent win was 1-0 (9.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.98%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Ain would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Pakhtakor Tashkent | Draw | Al-Ain |
28.03% ( -1.15) | 27.87% ( -0.53) | 44.1% ( 1.68) |
| Both teams to score 45.88% ( 0.82) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 40.43% ( 1.33) | 59.56% ( -1.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.09% ( 1.01) | 79.9% ( -1.01) |
| Pakhtakor Tashkent Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.74% ( -0.2) | 37.26% ( 0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 25.95% ( -0.19) | 74.05% ( 0.2) |
| Al-Ain Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.13% ( 1.53) | 26.87% ( -1.53) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | ||||||||
| 37.82% ( 1.97) | 62.18% ( -1.97) |
| Score Analysis |
| Pakhtakor Tashkent | Draw | Al-Ain |
| 1-0 @ 9.88% ( -0.56) 2-1 @ 6.41% ( -0.12)2-0 @ 4.88% ( -0.31)3-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 1.61% ( -0.11)3-2 @ 1.39% ( 0.03)Other @ 1.75% Total : 28.03% | 1-1 @ 12.98% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 10.01% ( -0.51)2-2 @ 4.21% ( 0.11)Other @ 0.66% Total : 27.86% | 0-1 @ 13.15% ( -0.1) 0-2 @ 8.65% ( 0.31)1-2 @ 8.54% ( 0.26)0-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.29)1-3 @ 3.74% ( 0.27)2-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.12)0-4 @ 1.25% ( 0.14)1-4 @ 1.23% ( 0.14)Other @ 1.91% Total : 44.09% |
| Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Manchester CityMan City | 11 | 9 | 0 | 2 | 28 | 8 | 20 | 27 |
| 2 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 11 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 23 | 13 | 10 | 26 |
| 3 | Liverpool | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 24 |
| 4 | Arsenal | 11 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 23 | 9 | 14 | 24 |
| 5 | Aston Villa | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 22 |
| 6 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 11 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 27 | 11 | 16 | 20 |
| 7 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 11 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 24 | 20 | 4 | 18 |
| 8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 11 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 12 | 16 | -4 | 18 |
| 9 | Brentford | 11 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 16 |
| 10 | Chelsea | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 12 | 5 | 15 |
| 11 | Crystal Palace | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 10 | 13 | -3 | 15 |
| 12 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 11 | 4 | 2 | 5 | 18 | 20 | -2 | 14 |
| 13 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 15 | -3 | 13 |
| 14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 14 | 19 | -5 | 12 |
| 15 | Fulham | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 17 | -8 | 12 |
| 16 | Everton | 11 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 11 | 15 | -4 | 11 |
| 17 | Luton TownLuton | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 21 | -11 | 6 |
| 18 | Bournemouth | 11 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 27 | -18 | 6 |
| 19 | Burnley | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 8 | 27 | -19 | 4 |
| 20 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 11 | 1 | 1 | 9 | 9 | 30 | -21 | 4 |
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