Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Al-Duhail win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Pakhtakor Tashkent had a probability of 29.24% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for an Al-Duhail win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.14%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.69%) and 0-2 (8.22%). The likeliest Pakhtakor Tashkent win was 1-0 (9.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.84%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Al-Duhail would win this match.
