Coverage of the AFC Champions League Group Stage clash between Hoang Anh Gia Lai and Sydney FC.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Hoang Anh Gia Lai 1-0 Sydney FC
Sunday, May 1 at 12pm in AFC Champions League
Sunday, May 1 at 12pm in AFC Champions League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 3-1 Sydney FC
Tuesday, May 10 at 10.05am in Australian A-League
Tuesday, May 10 at 10.05am in Australian A-League
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 5 | Melbourne City | 5 | 1 | 8 |
| 6 | Sydney FC | 6 | 1 | 8 |
| 7 | Newcastle Jets | 5 | 2 | 5 |
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Hoang Anh Gia Lai had a probability of 33.87% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.54%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Hoang Anh Gia Lai win was 1-0 (9.15%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Hoang Anh Gia Lai | Draw | Sydney FC |
| 33.87% | 26.3% | 39.83% |
| Both teams to score 52.91% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
