SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 39.61%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 36.45% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.26%) and 2-0 (5.72%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (8.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Wellington Phoenix | Draw | Western Sydney Wanderers |
39.61% ( -0.04) | 23.93% ( 0.05) | 36.45% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 61.65% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 59.39% ( -0.24) | 40.6% ( 0.24) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 37.01% ( -0.24) | 62.99% ( 0.24) |
| Wellington Phoenix Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.3% ( -0.12) | 20.7% ( 0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 46.7% ( -0.19) | 53.3% ( 0.19) |
| Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.74% ( -0.11) | 22.26% ( 0.11) |
