Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Wellington Phoenix win with a probability of 40.95%. A win for Western Sydney Wanderers had a probability of 36.07% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Wellington Phoenix win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.3%) and 2-0 (5.38%). The likeliest Western Sydney Wanderers win was 1-2 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood.
