Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Central Coast Mariners win with a probability of 43.4%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 30.93% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Central Coast Mariners win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.99%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-0 (8.28%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Central Coast Mariners would win this match.
