Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 46.8%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 29.28% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.66%) and 0-2 (7.29%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (7.14%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
