Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 48.94%. A win for Central Coast Mariners had a probability of 26.65% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.51%) and 0-2 (8.26%). The likeliest Central Coast Mariners win was 1-0 (7.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.55%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.
