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Australian A-League | Gameweek 22
Mar 31, 2024 at 5am UK
AAMI Park
PG

Victory
2 - 1
Perth Glory

Fornaroli (16', 53')
Velupillay (90+1'), Izzo (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bennie (61')
Stajcic (76')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Melbourne Victory and Perth Glory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Western Utd 2-2 Victory
Thursday, March 14 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 1-2 Western Sydney
Saturday, March 16 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 59.14%. A draw has a probability of 20.9% and a win for Perth Glory has a probability of 19.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.84%) and 1-0 (8.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Perth Glory win it is 1-2 (5.35%).

Result
Melbourne VictoryDrawPerth Glory
59.14% (0.64 0.64) 20.9% (-0.137 -0.14) 19.96% (-0.5 -0.5)
Both teams to score 58.75% (-0.356 -0.36)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.61% (-0.082000000000001 -0.08)38.39% (0.082999999999998 0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.33% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)60.67% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.3% (0.16 0.16)12.7% (-0.158 -0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.09% (0.32700000000001 0.33)38.91% (-0.326 -0.33)
Perth Glory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.3% (-0.53099999999999 -0.53)32.7% (0.533 0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.75% (-0.6 -0.6)69.26% (0.60299999999999 0.6)
Score Analysis
    Melbourne Victory 59.14%
    Perth Glory 19.96%
    Draw 20.9%
Melbourne VictoryDrawPerth Glory
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 8.84% (0.141 0.14)
1-0 @ 8.57% (0.084999999999999 0.08)
3-1 @ 6.8% (0.051 0.05)
3-0 @ 6.08% (0.133 0.13)
3-2 @ 3.8% (-0.027 -0.03)
4-1 @ 3.51% (0.047 0.05)
4-0 @ 3.14% (0.087 0.09)
4-2 @ 1.96% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.45% (0.028 0.03)
5-0 @ 1.3% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 3.82%
Total : 59.14%
1-1 @ 9.58% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.52% (-0.072 -0.07)
0-0 @ 4.15% (0.017 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.42% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 20.9%
1-2 @ 5.35% (-0.103 -0.1)
0-1 @ 4.64% (-0.049 -0.05)
0-2 @ 2.6% (-0.066 -0.07)
2-3 @ 2.06% (-0.058 -0.06)
1-3 @ 2% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-3 @ 0.97% (-0.039 -0.04)
Other @ 2.35%
Total : 19.96%

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Form Guide
Last Game: Western Utd 2-2 Victory
Thursday, March 14 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 1-2 Victory
Saturday, March 9 at 9.15am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 3-2 Victory
Sunday, March 3 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 0-1 Central Coast
Sunday, February 25 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 2-1 Western Utd
Tuesday, February 20 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 0-0 Victory
Saturday, February 17 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 1-2 Western Sydney
Saturday, March 16 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 2-2 Newcastle Jets
Saturday, March 9 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Western Utd 1-0 Perth Glory
Saturday, March 2 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 0-0 Wellington
Saturday, February 24 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 3-2 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, February 17 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Adelaide United 3-3 Perth Glory
Friday, February 9 at 8.45am in Australian A-League


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