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Australian A-League | Gameweek 19
Mar 3, 2024 at 6am UK
Suncorp Stadium
MV
Brisbane Roar
3 - 2
Victory
Rojas (23', 56'), Waddingham (70')
Hore (39'), Burke-Gilroy (62'), Jelacic (90')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Machach (35'), Bonevacia (86')
Geria (15')
Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 2-2 Western Utd
Friday, February 23 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 0-1 Central Coast
Sunday, February 25 at 6am in Australian A-League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Brisbane Roar has a probability of 30.44% and a draw has a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win is 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win is 2-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.53%).

Result
Brisbane RoarDrawMelbourne Victory
30.44% (-1.113 -1.11) 23.28% (0.128 0.13) 46.28% (0.983 0.98)
Both teams to score 61.94% (-1.09 -1.09)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.66% (-1.173 -1.17)39.33% (1.171 1.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.32% (-1.237 -1.24)61.67% (1.236 1.24)
Brisbane Roar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.92% (-1.252 -1.25)25.07% (1.249 1.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.24% (-1.762 -1.76)59.76% (1.76 1.76)
Melbourne Victory Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.67% (-0.075000000000003 -0.08)17.33% (0.073999999999998 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.3% (-0.133 -0.13)47.7% (0.131 0.13)
Score Analysis
    Brisbane Roar 30.44%
    Melbourne Victory 46.28%
    Draw 23.27%
Brisbane RoarDrawMelbourne Victory
2-1 @ 7.29% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-0 @ 6.01% (0.114 0.11)
2-0 @ 4.16% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-1 @ 3.36% (-0.193 -0.19)
3-2 @ 2.95% (-0.177 -0.18)
3-0 @ 1.92% (-0.105 -0.11)
4-1 @ 1.16% (-0.112 -0.11)
4-2 @ 1.02% (-0.101 -0.1)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 30.44%
1-1 @ 10.53% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 6.39% (-0.142 -0.14)
0-0 @ 4.34% (0.234 0.23)
3-3 @ 1.72% (-0.108 -0.11)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.27%
1-2 @ 9.23% (0.13 0.13)
0-1 @ 7.62% (0.393 0.39)
0-2 @ 6.67% (0.328 0.33)
1-3 @ 5.4% (0.063 0.06)
0-3 @ 3.9% (0.183 0.18)
2-3 @ 3.73% (-0.092 -0.09)
1-4 @ 2.36% (0.022 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.71% (0.076 0.08)
2-4 @ 1.64% (-0.045 -0.04)
Other @ 4.03%
Total : 46.28%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 2-2 Western Utd
Friday, February 23 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Perth Glory 3-2 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, February 17 at 10.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 5-1 Melbourne City
Saturday, February 10 at 7am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Brisbane Roar 1-1 Wellington
Friday, February 2 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Central Coast 2-0 Brisbane Roar
Saturday, January 27 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 3-1 Brisbane Roar
Tuesday, January 23 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 0-1 Central Coast
Sunday, February 25 at 6am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 2-1 Western Utd
Tuesday, February 20 at 8am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Melbourne City 0-0 Victory
Saturday, February 17 at 8.45am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 0-1 Macarthur
Saturday, February 10 at 6.30am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Newcastle Jets 1-1 Victory
Saturday, February 3 at 7am in Australian A-League
Last Game: Victory 1-1 Sydney FC
Friday, January 26 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

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