Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 46.18%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 29.58% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.94%) and 2-0 (7.34%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 (7.19%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Melbourne Victory | Draw | Brisbane Roar |
46.18% ( -0.46) | 24.24% ( -0.04) | 29.58% ( 0.49) |
Both teams to score 57.98% ( 0.45) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.67% ( 0.45) | 44.33% ( -0.45) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.3% ( 0.44) | 66.7% ( -0.44) |
Melbourne Victory Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.66% ( -0.01) | 19.34% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.89% ( -0.02) | 51.11% ( 0.02) |
Brisbane Roar Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.88% ( 0.57) | 28.12% ( -0.57) |