SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 38%. A win for Western United had a probability of 36.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Western United win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brisbane Roar in this match.
| Result | ||
| Brisbane Roar | Draw | Western United |
38% ( -0.34) | 25.42% ( -0.18) | 36.57% ( 0.52) |
| Both teams to score 56.23% ( 0.64) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 52.38% ( 0.81) | 47.62% ( -0.81) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 30.18% ( 0.74) | 69.82% ( -0.74) |
| Brisbane Roar Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.38% ( 0.18) | 24.62% ( -0.19) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 40.87% ( 0.26) | 59.12% ( -0.26) |
| Western United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 74.59% ( 0.67) | 25.41% ( -0.67) |
