Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 42.65%. A win for Western United had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.83%) and 0-2 (6.81%). The likeliest Western United win was 2-1 (7.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
