SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 41.26%. A win for Macarthur had a probability of 34.41% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.98%) and 0-2 (6.25%). The likeliest Macarthur win was 2-1 (7.94%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.25%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Macarthur | Draw | Adelaide United |
34.41% ( 0.14) | 24.33% ( 0.15) | 41.26% ( -0.29) |
| Both teams to score 59.81% ( -0.5) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 57.16% ( -0.66) | 42.83% ( 0.66) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 34.76% ( -0.66) | 65.23% ( 0.66) |
| Macarthur Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.6% ( -0.23) | 24.39% ( 0.23) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 41.19% ( -0.33) | 58.81% ( 0.33) |
| Adelaide United Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.11% ( -0.42) | 20.88% ( 0.41) |
