Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 41.09%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 33.77% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 0-1 with a probability of 8.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.8%) and 0-2 (6.65%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 (7.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.85%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sydney FC would win this match.
