Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 37.54%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 36.61% and a draw had a probability of 25.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.32%) and 2-0 (6.23%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 0-1 (9.04%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood.
