SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 13 | SV Sandhausen | 7 | -2 | 7 |
| 14 | Nuremberg | 7 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Arminia Bielefeld | 7 | -4 | 5 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 14 | Nuremberg | 7 | -5 | 7 |
| 15 | Arminia Bielefeld | 7 | -4 | 5 |
| 16 | Greuther Furth | 7 | -5 | 4 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nuremberg win with a probability of 41.15%. A win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 33.88% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nuremberg win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.76%) and 2-0 (6.58%). The likeliest Arminia Bielefeld win was 1-2 (7.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nuremberg would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nuremberg | Draw | Arminia Bielefeld |
41.15% ( 0.35) | 24.97% ( -0.09) | 33.88% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 57.38% ( 0.23) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.05% ( 0.33) | 45.95% ( -0.33) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 31.74% ( 0.31) | 68.26% ( -0.31) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.72% ( 0.31) | 22.28% ( -0.31) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 44.27% ( 0.47) | 55.73% ( -0.47) |
| Arminia Bielefeld Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.82% ( 0) | 26.18% ( -0) |
