SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 10 | Holstein Kiel | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 11 | Nuremberg | 3 | 1 | 4 |
| 12 | St Pauli | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 3 | SC Paderborn | 3 | 6 | 6 |
| 4 | Heidenheim | 3 | 3 | 6 |
| 5 | Hamburger SV | 3 | 2 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Heidenheim win with a probability of 38%. A win for Nuremberg had a probability of 35.62% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Heidenheim win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.85%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.32%) and 0-2 (6.53%). The likeliest Nuremberg win was 1-0 (9.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.54%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Heidenheim would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Nuremberg | Draw | Heidenheim |
35.62% ( -0.06) | 26.38% ( -0.01) | 38% ( 0.07) |
| Both teams to score 52.89% ( 0.03) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.14% ( 0.04) | 51.86% ( -0.04) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.38% ( 0.04) | 73.62% ( -0.04) |
| Nuremberg Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 72.03% ( -0.02) | 27.97% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 36.4% ( -0.02) | 63.6% ( 0.02) |
| Heidenheim Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 73.42% ( 0.06) | 26.58% ( -0.06) |
