SM
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 16 | Karlsruher SC | 3 | -6 | 1 |
| 17 | Arminia Bielefeld | 3 | -5 | 0 |
| 18 | Eintracht Braunschweig | 3 | -6 | 0 |
| Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 4 | Kaiserslautern | 4 | 1 | 7 |
| 5 | Hamburger SV | 3 | 2 | 6 |
| 6 | Fortuna Dusseldorf | 3 | 1 | 6 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 58.7%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Arminia Bielefeld had a probability of 19.26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10%) and 1-2 (9.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.42%), while for an Arminia Bielefeld win it was 1-0 (5.47%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Arminia Bielefeld | Draw | Hamburger SV |
19.26% ( 0.97) | 22.03% ( 0.44) | 58.7% ( -1.41) |
| Both teams to score 53.62% ( 0.29) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.41% ( -0.47) | 44.58% ( 0.47) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.05% ( -0.46) | 66.95% ( 0.46) |
| Arminia Bielefeld Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.98% ( 0.78) | 37.02% ( -0.78) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 26.19% ( 0.77) | 73.8% ( -0.77) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.14% ( -0.6) | 14.86% ( 0.6) |
