SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hamburger SV win with a probability of 41.63%. A win for Fortuna Dusseldorf had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hamburger SV win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.48%) and 2-0 (5.55%). The likeliest Fortuna Dusseldorf win was 1-2 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.12%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Hamburger SV would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Hamburger SV | Draw | Fortuna Dusseldorf |
41.63% ( -0.07) | 23.06% ( -0.01) | 35.31% ( 0.08) |
| Both teams to score 64.76% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.53% ( 0.07) | 36.46% ( -0.07) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.39% ( 0.08) | 58.61% ( -0.08) |
| Hamburger SV Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.94% ( 0) | 18.05% ( -0) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 51.04% ( 0) | 48.96% ( -0) |
| Fortuna Dusseldorf Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.03% ( 0.07) | 20.97% ( -0.07) |
