SM
| Current Group A Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Egypt | 3 | 5 | 9 |
| 2 | Uganda | 3 | 0 | 4 |
| 3 | Congo DR | 3 | 0 | 3 |
| 4 | Zimbabwe | 3 | -5 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Uganda win with a probability of 41.79%. A draw has a probability of 30.1% and a win for Guinea has a probability of 28.07%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win is 1-0 with a probability of 15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-0 (8.64%) and 2-1 (7.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (13.3%), while for a Guinea win it is 0-1 (11.55%).
| Result | ||
| Uganda | Draw | Guinea |
41.79% ( 0.78) | 30.14% ( -0.43) | 28.07% ( -0.36) |
| Both teams to score 40.2% ( 0.85) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 33.35% ( 1.11) | 66.64% ( -1.11) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 14.97% ( 0.75) | 85.02% ( -0.75) |
| Uganda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 68.37% ( 1.04) | 31.62% ( -1.05) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 31.97% ( 1.19) | 68.03% ( -1.19) |
| Guinea Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.79% ( 0.35) | 41.21% ( -0.35) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 22.26% ( 0.31) | 77.74% ( -0.31) |
| Score Analysis |
| Uganda | Draw | Guinea |
| 1-0 @ 15% ( -0.18) 2-0 @ 8.64% ( 0.14)2-1 @ 7.66% ( 0.19)3-0 @ 3.31% ( 0.15)3-1 @ 2.94% ( 0.16)3-2 @ 1.3% ( 0.08)4-0 @ 0.95% ( 0.07)Other @ 1.99% Total : 41.79% | 1-1 @ 13.3% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 13.03% ( -0.54)2-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.12)Other @ 0.41% Total : 30.14% | 0-1 @ 11.55% ( -0.37) 1-2 @ 5.9% ( 0.04)0-2 @ 5.12% ( -0.11)1-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.03)0-3 @ 1.51% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1% ( 0.04)Other @ 1.24% Total : 28.07% |
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