SM
| Current Group D Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
| 1 | Congo | 3 | 3 | 7 |
| 2 | Angola | 3 | 1 | 5 |
| 3 | Burkina Faso | 3 | -2 | 2 |
| 4 | Cameroon | 3 | -2 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Uganda win with a probability of 54.23%. A draw has a probability of 25.8% and a win for Congo has a probability of 19.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Uganda win is 0-1 with a probability of 14.66%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 0-2 (11.22%) and 1-2 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline is 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Congo win it is 1-0 (7.81%).
| Result | ||
| Congo | Draw | Uganda |
19.96% ( 0.38) | 25.81% ( 0.21) | 54.23% ( -0.59) |
| Both teams to score 43.67% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 41.59% ( -0.3) | 58.4% ( 0.29) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 20.99% ( -0.23) | 79% ( 0.23) |
| Congo Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 55.72% ( 0.26) | 44.27% ( -0.26) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 19.65% ( 0.21) | 80.34% ( -0.21) |
| Uganda Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.36% ( -0.37) | 21.64% ( 0.37) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.23% ( -0.56) | 54.76% ( 0.56) |
| Score Analysis |
| Congo | Draw | Uganda |
| 1-0 @ 7.81% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 4.87% ( 0.07)2-0 @ 3.18% ( 0.08)3-1 @ 1.32% ( 0.03)3-2 @ 1.01% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.77% Total : 19.96% | 1-1 @ 11.94% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.11)2-2 @ 3.73% ( 0.01)Other @ 0.56% Total : 25.8% | 0-1 @ 14.66% 0-2 @ 11.22% ( -0.12)1-2 @ 9.14% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 5.73% ( -0.13)1-3 @ 4.67% ( -0.07)0-4 @ 2.19% ( -0.07)2-3 @ 1.9% ( -0.01)1-4 @ 1.79% ( -0.05)Other @ 2.93% Total : 54.22% |
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